Who would do better, according to the FT today:
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Heterogeneous Responses of Sentiment, Expectations to Economic News
From the Michigan survey of consumers:
BOFIT: “Russia continued on a more moderate growth path in July..”
From BOFIT:
High Frequency Prices in Presidential Prediction Markets
From PredictIt, just one hour into the debate:
Economic Sentiment and Confidence in August
Conference Board’s Confidence Index exceeds consensus (103.3 > 100.9), with July index revised up. Here’re August readings for confidence, sentiment and news.
Spreads in the Meatpacking Industry: Beef
Here’s the time series on beef farm-to-wholesale spread, in 1982-84$.
Cliff Winston: “The Microeconomics of Donald Trump”
“Economists for Trump”
In 2020, list here.
The Partisan Split in August Sentiment
Michigan 67.8 vs 66.7. Big jump in expectations 72.1 vs. 68.5 (as opposed to current situation).
Scariest Paragraph for Applied Econometricians in Project 2025
From Mandate for Leadership, aka Project 2025, page 664: