RealClearPolitics betting average, today, has Harris-Trump 52.3 to 46.3.
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Nowcasts Rising
Here’s a snapshot of nowcasts and forecasts as of today:
Is Manufacturing In Recession?
As of August, incorporating latest capacity utilization and production data, I’m tempted to say no, even incorporating at face value the preliminary benchmark revision to employment.
Summary of Economic Projections: GDP
From the Fed today:
GDPNow at 3% for Q3
Goldman Sachs tracking 2.8%.
Monthly Median Income
From Motio Research, August 2024:
FT-Ross/Michigan Poll on Views of Candidates’ Economic Policies
Who would do better, according to the FT today:
Heterogeneous Responses of Sentiment, Expectations to Economic News
From the Michigan survey of consumers:
BOFIT: “Russia continued on a more moderate growth path in July..”
From BOFIT:
High Frequency Prices in Presidential Prediction Markets
From PredictIt, just one hour into the debate: