Are you better of than you expected four years ago? I use trend growth 2016-2019 to figure out what is “expected”.
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Are You Better Off than You Were Five Years Ago?
Reader Steven Kopits writes in response to Are you better off than you were four years ago?:
Decomposing Sentiment
Republicans and lean Republican respondents really, really, really don’t like economic conditions right now, switching “bigly” upon Trump’s election, contributing an outsize impact on the overall University of Michigan consumer sentiment index. Democrats and lean Democratic respondents think things are about the same as mid-2016 (under Obama).
Are You Better Off than You Were Four Years Ago?
GDP per capita, consumption per capita, disposable income per capita, unemployment, economic policy uncertainty, VIX, and Misery Index — plus median household income.
Confidence, Sentiment, and News in April: Some Time Series
Sharp reactions to Conference Board consumer confidence index today. Here’s some context for this movement, as well as that in the U.Michigan survey of economic sentiment.
Real Median Household Income for March
Higher for Longer, Illustrated
From Rashad Ahmed today:
Best Proposed Amendment *Ever*
Filed today by Rep. Moskowitz:
“Assessing Methods to Integrate the Physical Risks and Transition Risks and Opportunities of Climate Change into the President’s Macroeconomic Forecast”
CEA and OMB report out today.
GDP Nowcasts
GDPNow and NY Fed close.