Category Archives: Uncategorized

On the Consequences of Inflammatory Language Use on Social Media

Remember assertions that the use of the term “China Virus” in the stead of SARS-CoV-2 or Covid-19 was not only appropriate, but desirable? From Time:

Since the start of the pandemic last spring, Asian Americans have faced racist violence at a much higher rate than previous years. The NYPD reported that hate crimes motivated by anti-Asian sentiment jumped 1,900% in New York City in 2020. Stop AAPI Hate, a reporting database created at the beginning of the pandemic as a response to the increase in racial  violence, received 2,808 reports of anti-Asian discrimination between March 19 and  December 31, 2020. The violence has continued into 2021, and President Joe Biden signed an  executive order denouncing anti-Asian discrimination shortly after taking office in January. While anti-Asian violence has taken place nationwide and particularly in major cities, the uptick in attacks in 2021 has been particularly focused in the Bay Area, especially in San Francisco and Oakland’s Chinatowns.

Well, Steven Kopits, the Asian-American community of America thanks you.

See also WaPo.

An Alternative Proxy Measure for Slack

In this blog, we’ve recently covered production function/bean counting, inverted Phillips curve, and statistical techniques for estimating the level of potential GDP relative to actual GDP — that is the extent of economic slack. Struyven/Hatzius/Bhushan at Goldman Sachs estimate slack at several percentage points greater than that implied by the CBO measure.

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Musings on: “What the he** do you teach your students, Menzie”

Steven Kopits argues about the relevance of market imperfections, to wit:

What the hell do you teach your students, Menzie? “Well, you know, here’s the theory, but let’s not get carried away with it in real life.”? Why would anyone want to be an economist when the bulk of your views seem to revolve around exceptions to the rule, about presumptions that you are smarter than the market or that markets don’t work?

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Business Cycle Indicators as of January 26th

New information coming out on Friday, employment in a week and a half. For now:

Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment (dark blue), Bloomberg consensus for January as of 1/26 (blue square), industrial production (red),  personal income excluding transfers in Ch.2012$ (green), manufacturing and trade sales in Ch.2012$ (black), and monthly GDP in Ch.2012$ (pink), all log normalized to 2020M02=0. Source: BLS, Federal Reserve, BEA, via FRED, IHS Markit (nee Macroeconomic Advisers) (1/4/2021 release), NBER, and author’s calculations.

In Memory

With the Washington Monument in the background, President-elect Joe Biden with his wife Jill Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris with her husband Doug Emhoff listen as Yolanda Adams sings “Hallelujah” during a COVID-19 memorial, with lights placed around the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Source: NPR