So much for grocery prices dropping on day one. Some forecasts from ERS, TradingEconomics:
The Outlook for Grocery Prices and Eggs (pre-tariff)
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(Would’a Been) Biggest Tax Increase Ever!
Update to this post.
Trump’s Economic Team and Tariff-fest 2025
Years (or months) from now, if the economy goes into recession, remember this is the team that brought you that outcome.
Browbeating Trump’s Bete Noire into Submission via Trade War
Trump can’t even do that right.
GDPNow Assuming No Import Effects: Still Close to Stall Speed
Assume no revision to GDP prospects from the imports data, as Goldman Sachs did. What is the path of GDP growth, and the level of GDP?
EPU on the Rise
EPU through 3/3/2025:
Soybeans (Again!)
Deja vu all over again – China retaliates, and again soybeans are on the list.
Recession (Betting) Odds Rising
From Kalshi, 10am CT:
Spot the “Events” in this Event Study
Dow Jones: