Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Bond Yields: Two Pictures

Over 5.2%:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 28, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Oligarchy is a Symptom, Not the Cause”

Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version was published in Project Syndicate. 

 


Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 27, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Nonresidential Fixed Investment in the DotCom Boom/Bust

What did we think was happening back then, compared to what we know now?

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 25, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Is It Real?

Rise in 10 year rates is mostly showing up in real rates, as proxied by TIPS.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 24, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Diesel and Heating Oil Dependency, by State

As share of total diesel+heating oil+gasoline consumption volume (a somewhat strange measure to me, but probably gets the idea across), from Nate Silver:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 23, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Refiner Capacity Utilization at 97.5

As of September 11.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 23, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Manufacturing Employment Recovery Delayed?

Here are several measures of manufacturing employment. ADP suggests continued deterioration, while QCEW (through March) fell as official employment rose.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 22, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

“The State of Working Wisconsin, 2026”

From the High Road Strategy Center, an annual report:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 22, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Gasoline and Diesel Report

Data through yesterday:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 22, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Anticipating the EIA Gasoline and Diesel Update

According to AAA, regular gasoline is up 3.8% relative to a week ago, diesel up 4.5%.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 21, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on X

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • “News” Illustrated: Brazilian Election
  • Naval Deployment as of 10/26: Convergence near Iran in November?
  • The Canadian Term Spread and the Case of the Missing 2024 Recession
  • PCE Inflation in September
  • Motio September Median Real Household Income: Slight Recovery

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 7.0 (describes  2026:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress