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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Governor Walker on Who Should Be Considered an American

From Washington Post:

GOP presidential hopeful Scott Walker said Monday that children of illegal immigrants who are born in the United States should not automatically receive U.S. citizenship.

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This entry was posted on August 18, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Recent Experience with Monetary Sovereignty”

Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution by Helen Popper, professor of economics at Santa Clara University.


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This entry was posted on August 16, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Evaluating the Chinese Devaluation

The 2% devaluation of the Chinese yuan on Monday, and subsequent 1.6% weakening on Tuesday, was variously described as surprising and stunning. I think it was to be expected, given China’s slowing growth, although there was no particular reason to believe Monday would be the day. In evaluating the effects, one has to first place the drop in context.

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This entry was posted on August 12, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Gas Taxes and Oil Subsidies: Time for Reform”

Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University, and former Member of the Council of Economic Advisers, 1997-99. A shorter version was published at Project Syndicate.


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This entry was posted on August 11, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Kansas: The Macro Outlook

The politics of the The Kansas Experiment were recounted in Sunday’s NYT Magazine. Does the economic crash continue?

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This entry was posted on August 11, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

OPEC and world oil supplies

There’s been a remarkable surge in world oil production over the last year. And the United States is only part of the story.
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This entry was posted on August 9, 2015 by James_Hamilton.

“Global warming is a total, and very expensive, hoax!”

Source: Donald J. Trump, 6 December 2013.

Here’s some data: Global surface anomaly, year-to-date (June):

YTD_June_global

Source: NOAA

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This entry was posted on August 7, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

National Employment Powers Along

While Wisconsin lags, and statistically significantly so…

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This entry was posted on August 7, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

To Log or Not to Log, Part III

Has nonresidential fixed investment risen faster than GDP since the dot.com peak?

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This entry was posted on August 6, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

To Log or Not to Log, Part II

Following up on this post, estimating the consumption function

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This entry was posted on August 5, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Recent Posts

  • Miran on r*
  • Guest Contribution: “FAIT, Shortfalls, and the Federal Reserve’s Strategy Review”
  • The Availability of Quarterly GDP Data for the US: Memo to EJ Antoni
  • Why Friends Don’t Let Friends Define Recessions as Two Consecutive Quarters of Negative GDP Growth
  • EJ Antoni: “factor in the millions of people missing from the labor market (don’t have jobs but are excluded from official unemployment calculation)”

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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