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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Bond market conundrum redux

As the U.S. economy returns to healthier growth, many of us expected long-term interest rates to return to more normal historical levels. But the general trend has been down since the end of the Great Recession. The 10-year rate did jump back up in the spring of 2013. But during most of this year it has been falling again.

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This entry was posted on August 31, 2014 by James_Hamilton.

Quantitative Implications of Wisconsin Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages

No succor from the QCEW series that the Walker Administration previously touted [1]

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This entry was posted on August 30, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

Wisconsin Forecasted to Lag Further Behind Minnesota

And Kansas travels its own path

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This entry was posted on August 29, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

“U.K. Wants EU to Block Russia From SWIFT Banking Network”

From Bloomberg::

The U.K. will press European Union leaders to consider blocking Russian access to the SWIFT banking transaction system under an expansion of sanctions over the conflict in Ukraine, a British government official said.

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This entry was posted on August 29, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

Russian Forces in Ukraine

Edit/update 8/30:

T72BM_in_Ukraine

T72BM (only known to be in service in the Russian army) in Ukraine, 8/26. Source: IISS

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This entry was posted on August 28, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “The Cause of Secular Stagnation? Relative Prices, Trade, and the People’s Republic of China”

Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Doug Campbell, assistant professor at the New Economic School (Moscow).


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This entry was posted on August 27, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

I Killed Some Brain Cells Today: Episode 2

“Energy regulation efficiency” and economic growth.

Last time, we turned to the Phoenix Institute for some mind-numbing, soul-killing “research”. Today we look to the Pacific Research Institute for some dumbfounding “analysis”.

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This entry was posted on August 25, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

What did quantitative easing accomplish?

Roger Farmer has taken a new look at an issue concerning the Federal Reserve’s program of large-scale asset purchases (referred to in the popular press as “quantitative easing”) that I’ve been discussing on Econbrowser and in my research with University of Chicago Professor Cynthia Wu for some time.

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This entry was posted on August 24, 2014 by James_Hamilton.

New Quarterly Gross State Product Series: Wisconsin and Minnesota

The BEA has released a new quarterly Gross State Product (GSP) series for states — a tremendous innovation for those of us interested in tracking state economies.

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This entry was posted on August 22, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

Chinn-Ito Financial Openness Index Updated to 2012

The Chinn-Ito index revised and updated to 2012 is now available here.

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This entry was posted on August 22, 2014 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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