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Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Quite the finish

Amazing championship game for the NCAA men’s college basketball tournament.

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This entry was posted on April 7, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

Nonfarm Payroll Employment: The Movie

By Menzie Chinn

As informative as the nonfarm payroll employment numbers were, of even more interest to me are the revisions. Figure 1 depicts payroll employment estimates from the January (blue), February (red) and March (green) releases.

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This entry was posted on April 4, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

Regional propagation of business cycles

This is the second of two posts (first can be found here) based on the Craig Hiemstra Memorial Lecture that I’ll be giving in San Francisco on Friday. There I’ll be discussing some ongoing research I’ve been doing with Mike Owyang of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on regional propagation of business cycles.

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This entry was posted on April 3, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

IMF World Economic Outlook Analytic Chapters Released

Several chapters of the IMF’s semi-annual research document are now available online, in advance of the IMF-Bank meetings.

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This entry was posted on April 3, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

The Yuan on the Move: An Update

And a bit on the IMF’s revised forecast for the US.

From Reuters, “U.S.’s Paulson praises China on currency progress”:

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This entry was posted on April 2, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

Downturn in auto sales continues

Automobile sales do not bode well for first-quarter GDP.

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This entry was posted on April 2, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

Maybe not so nonsensical after all

How far will house prices fall? Implications from the latest WSJ survey.

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This entry was posted on March 31, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

NCAA basketball: Round 4

Sixteen entries in the
2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge
correctly picked all of the Final Four teams in the NCAA basketball tournament, including our two leaders who also correctly picked all of the Elite Eight finalists.

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This entry was posted on March 31, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

“Antarctic Ice Shelf Disintegration Underscores a Warming World”

From Antarctic Ice Shelf Disintegration Underscores a Warming World, March 25.

Satellite imagery from the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado at Boulder reveals that a 13,680 square kilometer (5,282 square mile) ice shelf has begun to collapse because of rapid climate change in a fast-warming region of Antarctica.

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This entry was posted on March 29, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

NCAA basketball: Round 3

And after Round 3 of the
2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge
we have not one but two entries (from N. Klingenstein and H. Parsley) that correctly picked all of the Elite Eight finalists. How they knew Davidson would get there is beyond me.

This entry was posted on March 29, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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