We’ve added a couple of new features to the sidebar.
Whither the Chinese Yuan?
The problem with writing blog posts in advance (I wrote most of this on the 25th) is that they may very well be rendered obsolete by the passage of events, especially when covering financial markets. Hopefully, in this case, the heightened uncertainty in emerging markets — as well as the durability of the yen carry trade — will not change the outlook for the CNY very much.
Easy come, easy go
Well, that 3.5% 2006:Q4 GDP growth was fun while it lasted.
Recession watch
Recent data leave me significantly more bearish than I was a month ago.
The Fundamentals Are…
The equity indices take a dive. Is this in spite of — or because of — the fundamentals?
Fiscal Stimulus under Current Law and under a Probable Alternative
The CBO released The Cyclically Adjusted and Standardized Budget Measures last Thursday.
Creative exam answers
Now this is funny.
San Diego County pension fund
I have been developing concerns about the possibility that hedge fund investment flows have become a destabilizing force in world financial markets. Following the maxim “think globally, act locally,” I decided to take a look at how the behavior of our local pension funds may be one small part of that phenomenom. And I have some recommendations to make on behalf of San Diego County residents and the world at large.
The Growth Outlook
The Society Survey of Professional Forecasters latest report (dated 13 February) has been released. The mean forecast is quite interesting, in light of Jim’s recent post on industrial production and the growth outlook.
Worrisome data on industrial production
Overshadowed by the euphoria over
Bernanke’s testimony last week was news that the Federal Reserve Board’s
index of industrial production fell
one-half percent in January.