Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Even more on the employment report

A contrarian perspective on employment growth

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 17, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Rising gas prices: whom should we blame this time?

U.S. gasoline prices are again moving quickly up. Some of the politicians who are looking for a scapegoat might do well to look in a mirror.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 16, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Specter’s antitrust bill

I share the concerns expressed at Mises Economics Blog and the Voluntary Trade Council about antitrust legislation introduced this week targeting both domestic and foreign oil producers.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 15, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Real vs. nominal, seasonally adjusted vs. nsa

A primer on real, nominal, physical units, and seasonal adjustment

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 14, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

An open letter to the Honorable Judge Carl J. West

My two cents worth on the multimillion dollar class-action lawsuit that was filed on my behalf against Ralphs Grocery Company.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 13, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

February Trade Figures

A (semi-) Positive Surprise on the trade balance

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 12, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

War fears and the price of oil

More talk this week of war with Iran, and the price of oil jumps right up. Maybe the two are related, and maybe not.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 10, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

External scientific advice at the Department of Energy

Energy department abolishes science advisory board

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 10, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Who’s grumpy about this week’s good economic news?

People who bought long-term Treasuries at 4.3%, that’s who.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 8, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

The yield curve and predicting recessions

Jonathan Wright, a brilliant research economist at the Federal Reserve Board, recently completed a very interesting paper titled The Yield Curve and Predicting Recessions. Wright’s research seems to have been influential in Fed Chair Ben Bernanke’s recent assessment that the current very flat yield curve does not signify a coming significant economic slowdown.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on April 6, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on X

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • The Last Month’s June Brent and Kalshi Hormuz Re-opening Odds
  • Brent Front Month above $111
  • Hormuz Re-opening Odds and Brent June Futures
  • Where Will Brent Futures Open Today?
  • “Margaret in Love and War”: An Opera Premiere

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  Feb 20, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 1.8 (describes  2025:Q3)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress