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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Life on Saturn’s moon?

The mainstream media caught the story of apparent seas made of methane or ethane on Saturn’s largest moon Titan. But there was an even more interesting account about tiny Enceladus.

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This entry was posted on March 18, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Disappointing numbers on inflation and retail sales

Macroblog and Calculated Risk had some discouraging graphs yesterday.

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This entry was posted on March 17, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Caribbean ethanol imports

What happens when you mandate use of ethanol and heavily tax its importation?

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This entry was posted on March 16, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Negative Net Income: The 2006 Balance of Payments

Most commentary on the 2006q4 current account balance release focused on the improvement in the overall balance. Little noted is the fact that 2006 is the first year in which the net income category has registered negative.

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This entry was posted on March 15, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

The Term Spread, Cross Country

How does the term spread correlate with recession in other economies?

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This entry was posted on March 13, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Subprime fallout

New Century Financial Corporation, formerly one of the nation’s biggest subprime mortgage lenders, has had a spectacular trip up and even more spectacular trip down.

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This entry was posted on March 13, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Fannie, Freddie, and Ben

Fed Chair Ben Bernanke had some excellent suggestions last week for congressional action on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

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This entry was posted on March 11, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

The January Trade Balance: Reading the Tea Leaves

Are declining capital imports growth rates an indicator of recession?

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This entry was posted on March 10, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Slower employment growth

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that U.S. nonfarm payrolls, as measured by their survey of establishments, increased by a seasonally adjusted 97,000 workers in February.

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This entry was posted on March 9, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

WMDs in Iraq, “Last throes…” and… “deficits don’t matter”

According to former Secretary of Treasury Paul O’Neill, Dick Cheney is reputed to have said: “…deficits don’t matter.”
(see Suskind’s The Price of Loyalty, and online here). What’s the (updated) evidence?

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This entry was posted on March 8, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 3.5 (describes  2026:Q2)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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