Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

“Until we hear Brazil get mentioned, I wouldn’t get excited”

That’s Jason Miller, supply chain expert at MSU, noting 40% tariff to remain on Brazilian coffee (and other) exports to the United States, according to ABCNews.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 15, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

How Would One Detect Wag the Dog?

On November 12, a small tranche of emails from the Epstein estate were released. Interest in Jeffrey Epstein as measured by Google Trends spiked.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 15, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

The Trump Agenda and the Housing Stock

Think deportations and construction labor force (not housing demand), and tariffs and construction costs.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 14, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Truflation’s “Strategic Adviser”: BLS should “…expand the use of public-private partnerships”

Longer quote from EJ Antoni in Townhall:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 14, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

NBER BCDC Key Indicators – What Do We Know and What Do We Have Guesses For

Key indicators, and my guesses:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 13, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Coffee, as of September 2025 (since next reading will be November)

Average price per pound:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 13, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

No October Employment Situation and CPI Releases (Ever?)

From Bloomberg:

The October jobs and consumer price index reports are unlikely to be released due to the government shutdown, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said Wednesday.

…

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 12, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

EJ Antoni on “Improving” Economic Statistics

From EJ Antoni, announcing on X, joining Truflation:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 11, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Torsten Slok’s (Slightly Late) Halloween Entry

Source: Torsten Slok/Apollo.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 11, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Nowcasting the Core Price Level

CPI and PCE, as of 11/11, from Cleveland Fed:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on November 11, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on Twitter

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Republican Sentiment: “The Sun’ll Come Out, Tomorrow”
  • Mysteries of the CPI Release
  • A Conjectured Sahm Index for November [corrected]
  • Real Retail Sales Down, Again
  • The Employment Picture: We’d Better Hope the Powell Conjecture Is Wrong

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress