It’s with great sadness that I pass on news of the passing of Barkley Rosser, Jr., a regular commenter on this weblog (under his own name!). He was among many things an intellect of extremely wide-ranging interests, from bubbles in exchange rates to the dynamics of transition economies, nonlinear dynamics and catastrophe theory to ecological economics.
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Year in Review, 2022: Vast Data Conspiracy by BEA, “Drill, baby, drill!”, and the Ills of Diversity
Last year’s recap was entitled “Year in Review, 2021: Cleaning Up What Trump Wrought”. This year, with rational policymaking returning, it’s time to erase stupidity.
“Foreign direct investment under uncertainty” up to 2019
A new paper in the Review of International Economics, coauthored with Caroline Jardet and Cristina Jude (both Banque de France). From the conclusion:
GDP Nowcasts as of 12/10: Growth in Q4
We have Q4 nowcasts and tracking estimates as of 12/9, and implied Q4 from Lewis-Mertens-Stock WEI.
GDP Prospects
Atlanta Fed nowcast at 3.4% q/q SAAR:
Disposition of Forces in Kherson Oblast, 28 Nov 2022
Here’s a picture from late yesterday:
Source: as of 28 Nov, militaryland.net, accessed 29 Nov 2022.
See latest report from ISW for context.
The “Trap” Closes: Kherson, 11/11/2022
Remember the question a skeptical JohnH asked on 9/2/2022, about the Ukrainian offensive? Here’s the answer:
Prediction Markets on Control of the Senate: 11/11/22
Looks like the betting is on Democratic control.
Prediction Market on Senate Conrol: Democratic at 93%
By simple addition of bets on 50 seats or less for Republicans — at 1030am Eastern Time, from PredictIt:
Balance of Forces, Kherson Oblast on 31 October 2022
As of 23:00 hrs (GMT+2) on 10/31 (Militaryland.net):