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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

When Tariffs Last Bloomed – Soybean Edition

Or, have US soybean exports recovered since Trump last reigned? Not in volumes.

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This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Manufacturing: When Tariffs Last Bloomed

Lest we forget, a visual recap of what exactly happened when Trump started announcing Section 232 and Section 301 measures.

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This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Heterogeneous Responses of Sentiment, Expectations to Economic News

From the Michigan survey of consumers:

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This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

BOFIT: “Russia continued on a more moderate growth path in July..”

From BOFIT:

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This entry was posted on September 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

FT-Booth Survey of Macroeconomists: Whose Platform Is More Inflationary/Deficit Expanding?

From the September survey, as shown in yesterday’s FT:

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This entry was posted on September 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Doug Irwin on CNN: McKinley and Tariffs

On CNN yesterday, “Why Trump’s trade hero turned away from tariffs”:

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This entry was posted on September 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

FT-Booth September Survey of Macroeconomists: Growth or Recession?

For GDP, no recession on the short horizon:

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This entry was posted on September 14, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

August 2024 Wisconsin Economic Outlook Forecast

Released yesterday:

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This entry was posted on September 14, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

End-of-Week Nowcasts

St. Louis and NY Feds have new nowcasts.

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This entry was posted on September 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up, Inflation Expectations Down

 

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This entry was posted on September 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  Feb 20, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 1.8 (describes  2025:Q3)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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