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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

A Wisconsin Senator in the Conspiracy

Specifically, Senator Ron Johnson’s role:

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This entry was posted on August 2, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Defense Spending over Time

Real defense spending is higher than at the Reagan buildup, but is (much) lower as a ratio of real GDP.

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This entry was posted on August 1, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “The Fed Stays the Course”

Today, we present a guest post written by David Papell and Ruxandra Prodan, Professor and Instructional Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Houston. 


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This entry was posted on July 31, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Timing: CHIPS Act or Military Keynesianism and the Manufacturing Building Boom

Reader JohnH, on considering the timing of the boom in manufacturing structures investment, writes:

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This entry was posted on July 31, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Treasury Yield Forecasts and Projections: CBO vs. Economists’ Consensus

CBO above market?

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This entry was posted on July 30, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Structures Investment Booms (esp. in Manufacturing)

From the advance release:

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This entry was posted on July 30, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

GDP, GDO, GDP+

GDP is only one measure of income. Following up on Jim’s post on GDP (and housing), here are others.

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This entry was posted on July 29, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Business Cycle Indicators at July’s End

Nominal consumption spending surprises on the upside. Here’s a picture of the series the NBER BCDC follows, along with monthly GDP.

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This entry was posted on July 28, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

Still chugging along

The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the second quarter, not far from the historical average of 3.1%.
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This entry was posted on July 27, 2023 by James_Hamilton.

CBO Projection Defers the Downturn

CBO’s Budget and Economic Outlook Update is just released:

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This entry was posted on July 27, 2023 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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