Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

MacIver Institute Does International Trade: Be VERY Afraid

From Michael Lucas at MI:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Seizing Russian Assets: If Not Now, When?

From Hess and Mott, in Foreign Policy, on stifling further Russian aggression even with Trump on the gates:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 14, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Trump: “Tariffs are going to make our country rich”

From Reuters:

In an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press that aired on Sunday, Trump said he did not believe that consumers ultimately pay the price of tariffs, adding “I think they’re beautiful.”

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 14, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Eggs

Bloomberg points out eggs were big in the PPI, accounting for 80% of the y/y rise (egg prices spiking due to avian flu). I wondered what eggs accounted for in the food at home component of the CPI.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “The Diminishing Impact of Exchange Rates on China’s Exports”

Today, we’re fortunate to have Willem Thorbecke, Senior Fellow at Japan’s Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) as a guest contributor. The views expressed represent those of the author himself, and do not necessarily represent those of RIETI, or any other institutions the author is affiliated with.


Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

US Tariff Pass-Through on Chinese Imports Is High

So be prepared. From Feng, Han, and Li (2023):

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Instantaneous Core and Supercore Inflation for November

Including PPI and nowcasted PCE:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Instantaneous Inflation in November (and October)

Up for CPI and chained CPI.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 11, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

The Likelihood of a Plaza Accord 2.0

Mark Sobel at OMFIF discusses the likelihood of an new Plaza Accord to depreciate the dollar. Given one would need Euro area and Chinese agreement, the assessed likelihood is low

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 10, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Disingenuousnous Watch

EJ Antoni/Heritage writes:

Another month, another record high for the number of gov’t employees

 

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on December 9, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on Twitter

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Trade Policy Uncertainty before July 9
  • Manufacturing Employment, Hours Down
  • Central Bank Gold Holdings
  • Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers Nowcasts Decelerate
  • Business Cycle Indicators – June Employment Release and May Monthly GDP

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 6.8 (describes  2024:Q4)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress