Jérémie Cohen-Setton has a nice review of the recent blog-literature regarding the trilemma on Bruegel:
Don’t Eat the Shrimp!
(Update 10/8, 9PM)
Or think twice … thanks to the government closure.
From GovExec, “90 Percent of Seafood Imports Go Uninspected Due to Shutdown”:
Making money from the Eagle Ford Shale
Newly exploited tight oil formations account for more than 100% of the increase in U.S. field production of crude oil since 2005. But that doesn’t mean it’s easy to make money getting oil out of the ground this way.
Estimated Macro Impacts of the Shutdown
(Updated 10/6)
Four business days into the shutdown, and we have already exceeded in length 90% of the government-wide shutdowns that have occurred. What is the macro impact? In an accounting sense, by end-of-Monday, the impact should be to shave off 0.2 ppts of 2013Q4 q/q annualized growth.
The September Employment Situation
[This empty webpage brought to you courtesy of the House of Representatives]
Debt Ceiling Watch (III)
Lots of pooh-poohing of the implications of a debt-ceiling crisis. It’s instructive to examine what happened to equity markets when we last came close to a breach, but the Government didn’t actually default.
Debt Ceiling Watch (II): October 2
From Alec Phillips/Goldman Sachs today (not online):
…the Treasury bill market is clearly indicating concern about upcoming debt ceiling deadlines …
Policy Uncertainty: October 1, 2013
A snapshot for those who argue that policy uncertainty is slowing down the economy.
Who’s afraid of the big bad taper?
Those of us who believed that the Fed’s program of large-scale asset purchases had only a modest effect on long-term interest rates seem to have some explaining to do.