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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Heterogeneous Responses of Sentiment, Expectations to Economic News

From the Michigan survey of consumers:

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This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

BOFIT: “Russia continued on a more moderate growth path in July..”

From BOFIT:

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This entry was posted on September 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

FT-Booth Survey of Macroeconomists: Whose Platform Is More Inflationary/Deficit Expanding?

From the September survey, as shown in yesterday’s FT:

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This entry was posted on September 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Doug Irwin on CNN: McKinley and Tariffs

On CNN yesterday, “Why Trump’s trade hero turned away from tariffs”:

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This entry was posted on September 15, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

FT-Booth September Survey of Macroeconomists: Growth or Recession?

For GDP, no recession on the short horizon:

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This entry was posted on September 14, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

August 2024 Wisconsin Economic Outlook Forecast

Released yesterday:

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This entry was posted on September 14, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

End-of-Week Nowcasts

St. Louis and NY Feds have new nowcasts.

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This entry was posted on September 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up, Inflation Expectations Down

 

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This entry was posted on September 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Real Average Wages

On the rise:

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This entry was posted on September 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Scary Movie: Pseudo-Economics Edition

EJ Antoni/Heritage presents this picture which should scare the beejeebus out of us.

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This entry was posted on September 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Wisconsin under Trump Trade War 2.0
  • A Man Who Believes We’ve Been in Recession since 2022 Is Still Odds on Favorite for BLS Commissioner
  • Michigan Survey: Sentiment Down, Inflation Expectations Up
  • Business Cycle Indicators – Industrial Production, Retail Sales
  • Instantaneous Core Inflation

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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