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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Lazear Sees No Recession for U.S. Economy

From WSJ, Henry Pulizzi and John D. McKinnon write:

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This entry was posted on May 7, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

Current Account Balances, Again

Two years ago, as part of a multi-year project, Charles Engel and I organized a conference on current account sustainability in major advanced economies.
Lask week, we convened a follow-up conference aimed at updating our knowledge on this subject. Below is the latest read on the U.S. current account to GDP.

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This entry was posted on May 6, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

Gasoline prices: consumers and politicians respond

The trend is clear: demand is down and complaints are up.

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This entry was posted on May 5, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

Updated Chinn-Ito Financial Openness Index Online

The newest version of the Chinn-Ito financial openness index (earlier discussed here), extending up to 2006, has just been posted. Here’s the series for Argentina and for Venezuela.

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This entry was posted on May 4, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

A Memo I’d Love to See: Whales and Economics

From the Washington Post:

White House officials for more than a year have blocked a rule aimed at protecting endangered North Atlantic right whales by challenging the findings of government scientists, according to documents obtained by the Union of Concerned Scientists.

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This entry was posted on May 3, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

Macroeconomics and ARCH

That’s the topic of my most recent research paper. Reader warning: this is a bit more technical than the standard Econbrowser post, so if you’re not a user of regression analysis, this may not be up your alley.

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This entry was posted on May 3, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

Fast and Easy Fannie

The Wall Street Journal had a very disturbing story on Wednesday about the “Fast and Easy” loan program of Countrywide Financial Corporation, many of whose mortgages were bought up by Fannie Mae.

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This entry was posted on May 2, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

Revisions, Again

The 0.6 ppt growth rate (SAAR) reported in the 2008Q1 advance release seemed to validate the President’s assertion that we’re not in a recession, discussed in this post.

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This entry was posted on April 30, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

GDP still growing (barely)

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at a 0.6% annual rate in the first quarter of 2008, the same tepid growth rate we saw in the fourth quarter of last year.

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This entry was posted on April 30, 2008 by James_Hamilton.

The Monetary Model of Exchange Rates, Money Demand Shocks and Order Flow

Yes, exchange rate prediction once again. Last Thursday, Michael Moore (of Queen’s University Belfast) and I presented a new paper at the IMF’s conference on International Macro-Finance (co-sponsored with the ESRC funded World Economy and Finance Program). Here’s the paper [pdf].

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This entry was posted on April 28, 2008 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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