ADP and Bloomberg consensus says don’t expect surge, don’t expect decline…
The July Trade Release
Trade deficit grows. US-China goods trade deficit is now growing too.
Pondering Elevated Wisconsin Covid-19 Infection Rates Resulting from a Successful Judgment for Wisconsin Institute for Law and Liberty
Striking down Governor Evers’s mask mandate in the name of process means fatalities almost assuredly must be higher than otherwise. From AP today:
Swing State Wisconsin: The Major Issues
Presented by UW–Madison’s La Follette School of Public Affairs and WisPolitics.com (October 2, 12 noon central)
The Impending Food-Service Sector Disaster
From Torsten Slok, now at Apollo.
Using One’s Eyes
A reader writes, in reference to CDC Covid-19 data on fatalities and excess fatalities, and how the estimates change over time as new data come in:
‘Twixt Peer Reviewed and Bits on the Web
What to cite when the research frontier is moving fast…
Are Covid-19 Deaths Falling?
I read some claims that Covid-19 fatalities are declining. I want to — again — remind readers about the hazards of interpreting (1) administrative data, and (2) data revisions.
Enhanced Benefits and Outlook: Continuation vs. End
From Wells Fargo Economics today:
Canada/US: Cumulative and New Covid-19 Fatalities per Capita
A reasonable person could ask why, if we’ve done such a superb job of managing the crisis in the US, we’ve done so poorly vis a vis Canada. From FT, today.