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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

A lack of ethics

David Kocieniewski of the New York Times is guilty of some outrageously bad journalism in the form of a groundless ad hominem attack on the reputation of two professors for the sole purpose of reinforcing the prejudices of his misinformed readers.

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This entry was posted on January 1, 2014 by James_Hamilton.

The Year in Review, 2013: Fantastical Pseudo Economics

The Shoveling Must Continue

 

Bill Beach has retired, and the Heritage Foundation no longer “scores” budget plans. Yet there is still so much … stuff … out there to debunk. Without further ado, here are my top ten examples of delusion in 2013.

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This entry was posted on December 30, 2013 by Menzie Chinn.

All quiet on the southern front

After a wild ride in 2011-2012, interest rates have settled down on European sovereign debt. For now.

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This entry was posted on December 29, 2013 by James_Hamilton.

British Economic Triumphalism in Perspective

Updated, includes summary of an econometric analysis of impact of austerity in the UK

 

Prime Minister Chancellor of the Exchequer Osborne has lauded the recent UK growth numbers as validation for the policy of austerity [1] (recently relaxed, although he doesn’t mention that).

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This entry was posted on December 25, 2013 by Menzie Chinn.

Reason for Optimism?

Despite the best efforts of some policymakers to reduce aggregate demand by way of austerity measures [0], there are glimmers of hope for more rapid growth.

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This entry was posted on December 23, 2013 by Menzie Chinn.

U.S. tight oil production surging

The U.S. Energy Information Administration last week issued an early release of its Annual Energy Outlook 2014, which shows substantially more optimism about near-term U.S. crude oil production compared to the AEO 2013 assessment completed just eight months ago.

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This entry was posted on December 22, 2013 by James_Hamilton.

Wisconsin Employment in November

Figure 1 shows private employment relative to trend implied by Governor Walker’s pledge of August 2013 to create 250,000 net new jobs; Figure 2 shows employment normalized to January 2011 for Wisconsin, as compared to Minnesota and the Nation.

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This entry was posted on December 20, 2013 by Menzie Chinn.

Phillips Curve Nonlinearities in the Data

Over the period of the Great Moderation, has inflation responded linearly to the output gap?

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This entry was posted on December 20, 2013 by Menzie Chinn.

Links for 2013-12-19

Quick links to a few items I found interesting.

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This entry was posted on December 19, 2013 by James_Hamilton.

The Government Spending to GDP Ratio: Down, Down, Down

Assessing the importance of direct government expenditures on goods and services [Edits to clear up ambiguity in terminology for readers Salim and Jeff — MDC 12/18].

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This entry was posted on December 16, 2013 by Menzie Chinn.

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James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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