Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Summary of Economic Projections: GDP

From the Fed today:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 18, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Ten Year Treasury Yields, Dollar Index Down

Apparently some news:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 18, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Instantaneous Headline Inflation: CPI, PCE, HICP

With US HICP out today:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 18, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Steve Kamin: “The Fed Is (Nearly) the World’s Most Hawkish Central Bank”

From the article (published 9/10), two key graphs:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 17, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

GDPNow at 3% for Q3

Goldman Sachs tracking 2.8%.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 17, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Monthly Median Income

From Motio Research, August 2024:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 17, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Business Cycle Indicators for August – NBER BCDC and Others

With the industrial production release today (+0.8% vs. +0.2% m/m consensus), we have the following picture of key series followed by the NBER’s BCDC:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 17, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

FT-Ross/Michigan Poll on Views of Candidates’ Economic Policies

Who would do better, according to the FT today:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Impact of Climate Risk on Fiscal Space: Does Political Stability and Financial Development Matter?”

Today we are pleased to present a guest contribution by Jamel Saadaoui (University Paris 8).  


Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Who Is in the Recession Camp Now? [Updated to 11/1]

[Post originally published on 8/18] It’s not a big one, but here’s an incomplete list:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on September 16, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on Twitter

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Private NFP Downside Surprise
  • ADP Below Consensus – What Does It Mean?
  • The Return (Again) of Supply Side Economics – CEA Edition
  • Your Daily Reminder: Prices of Import Competing Goods Rise with Tariffed Imported Goods Prices
  • June FT-Booth Macro Survey: GDP level same as March Survey

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 6.8 (describes  2024:Q4)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress