Now that we’re talking recession (again), it seems like a good idea to remind ourselves of the last time some observers declared unequivocally that we were in recession, to wit, Steven Kopits, January 2, 2023:
Each Time I Read Something Out of WMC, I Experience Cognitive Dissonance
From the just-released Summer WMC Wisconsin Employer Survey:
GDPNow vs. WSJ July Forecast
From Atlanta Fed today, 2.9% SAAR in Q3:
Recession Predictions from Six Months Ago
From a February 1st post:
Recession Indicator Sit-Rep
NBER BCDC key indicators, alternative indicators, weekly indicators:
Weekly Business Cycle Indicators – Data through 7/27
Bitcoin as Store of Value
Bitcoin vs. VIX:
Fed Funds Path as of Noon ET
From CME:
Who Better Predicted the Transitory Inflation Surge of 2021-24?
Consumers, CEO’s, or economists?
Three Episodes of the Sahm Rule Triggered
Recent vs. 2008 and 2001 recessions.