There’s a nifty website where you can trace out the intellectual lineage of your favorite academic (or not so favorite, as the case may be). Here’s mine:
GDP at Risk? (update)
An increasing amount of GDP is accounted for by counties with rising fatalities, a slight change from a couple weeks ago.
How Long Can Florida’s Economy Grow with the Governor’s Current Public Health Measures Stance?
Actually, I should write “Anti-Public Health Measures Stance”… The CDC released the ensemble forecasts of 8/16 yesterday.
The Wisconsin Employment Situation in July
Employment numbers for July were released for today.
Forecaster Views on the Overheating Hypothesis
Earlier in the year, one fear was that excessive fiscal stimulus would push up inflation, push up long term yields. Professional forecasters don’t seem to view that outcome as imminent.
X-Files, 2021 Edition
It seems every decade or so, there is a bout of paranoia about government statistics, to wit, a reader asserts the BLS is hiding data on median wages:
The Outlook – The August Survey of Professional Forecasters
Growth prospects decelerate, while the CPI level looks higher, according to the August Survey of Professional Forecasters.
Lumber Prices
Fell 34.3% (not annualized, in log terms) in July.
Yet More Alternative Real Wage Series, through Time
From FRED: Employed full time: Median usual weekly real earnings: Wage and salary workers: 16 years and over (LES1252881600Q), graphed along the familiar average hourly earnings per hour, total private industry, ex-nonproduction and supervisory workers, deflated by CPI:
Average and Median Wages through Time
Reader JohnH criticizes the use of average wages as indicators of the representative compensation, and suggests use of Social Security Administration data. Here are several measures taken from SSA, deflated by the CPI.