Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

A Parsimonious Error Correction Model of Wisconsin Economic Activity

With implications for assessing Wisconsin post-January 2011.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 15, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Currency Misalignment: A Reprise

As the Congress debates currency manipulation [1], it occurs to me useful to reprise my earlier primer on currency misalignment (first published in March 2010), where misalignment is one component of some definitions of currency manipulation.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 15, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Is Wisconsin Outpacing Other States?

How well has Wisconsin economically performed, as compared to its neighbor Minnesota, and to the US overall: here are six pictures of economic activity, employment, unemployment, real personal income, gross state product, and median household income, with which to make an assessment.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 13, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “New Improved Trade Agreements”

Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University, and former Member of the Council of Economic Advisers, 1997-99. This post is an extended version of an earlier column at Project Syndicate.


Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 11, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

When Will the Governor’s Promise of 250,000 New Private Sector Jobs Be Achieved?

Not within the next couple of years, according the Walker Administration’s Wisconsin Economic Outlook, released today.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 11, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Energy prices and consumer spending

Among the disappointments in the 2015:Q1 GDP figures was weak consumption growth, which was a little surprising given the extra cash most consumers have on hand as a result of lower energy prices. I wanted to take a look at how the recent consumer behavior compares with what we’ve seen historically.
Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 10, 2015 by James_Hamilton.

April Employment Situation: Revisions, Energy Extraction, Manufacturing

The April Employment release confirmed continued growth in total and private employment. My observations: some modest downward revisions, and some sectoral trends diverge.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 8, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Asia Games: Not Zero-Sum”

Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University, and former Member of the Council of Economic Advisers, 1997-99. An earlier version of this post appeared at Project Syndicate.


Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 7, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Trade (Head)Winds

Today’s March trade release brought unwelcome news, making the advance release (discussed by Jim here) appear optimistic by comparison. From Reuters:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 5, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Chinn-Ito Financial Openness Index Updated to 2013

The Chinn-Ito index revised and updated to 2013 is now available here.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on May 3, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on Twitter

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • The Availability of Quarterly GDP Data for the US: Memo to EJ Antoni
  • Why Friends Don’t Let Friends Define Recessions as Two Consecutive Quarters of Negative GDP Growth
  • EJ Antoni: “factor in the millions of people missing from the labor market (don’t have jobs but are excluded from official unemployment calculation)”
  • Six Measures of Nonfarm Payroll Employment
  • Everyday Prices (Still) Going Up – and Big Mac for Me, but not for Thee

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress