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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

“Inflation’s Looming Shadow”

Paul Ryan in October 2009 writes:

“One of my key concerns is on the inflation front….”

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This entry was posted on January 16, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Hottest on Record

Global temperatures in 2014, that is.

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This entry was posted on January 16, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

The SNB Removes the Cap

Commenting on what has been termed “Francogeddon” and a “tsunami” as well as consequent mayhem, Joe Weisenthal at Bloomberg/Business Week writes:

“Today the Swiss National Bank shocked the world when it announced it would remove the cap it had in place to prevent the Swiss franc from rising too high against the euro.”

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This entry was posted on January 15, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

I Agree with Ed Lazear (and Alan Auerbach)!

If you dynamic score, dynamically score both expenditure and revenue measures.

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This entry was posted on January 14, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Global Economic Prospects on Fiscal Policy, Oil Prices, and the Trade Slowdown

Update: The World Bank’s forecasts are also now out, summarized here. Russia is forecasted to hurtle into a deep recession.

Two chapters from the World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects are out.

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This entry was posted on January 13, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

The December Employment Release

The JEC Chair Brady (R) writes: “While the unemployment rate has fallen it doesn’t tell the true story about stagnant paychecks and Americans struggling to find full-time work.” He then calls for passage of Keystone-XL as part of the remedy.

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This entry was posted on January 12, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Demand factors in the collapse of oil prices

The price of oil passed another milestone last week, falling below $50 a barrel, a level that I had not expected to see again in my lifetime.

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This entry was posted on January 11, 2015 by James_Hamilton.

An Economic Warning?

In today’s NY Times, Peter Eavis writes about the message in “soaring bond prices”:

…a huge bond market with a strong track record for predicting economic problems is flashing a warning sign right now. … The prices of Treasury bonds are rallying fiercely.

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This entry was posted on January 7, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Terms of Trade Shocks, Competitiveness and Stability: The Role of Foreign Asset Management”

Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Joshua Aizenman, Dockson Chair in Economics and International Relations. This post is based on a presentation at the Society for the Study of Emerging Markets Panel session, AEA meetings, Boston, January 3, 2015.


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This entry was posted on January 6, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

The Dollar’s Recent Rise in Perspective

The dollar has exhibited substantial strength in the past few months, both against the euro, and against a basket of currencies, as noted in the press (e.g., [1] [2]) While this assessment is correct, it’s useful to keep the dollar’s movement in perspective.

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This entry was posted on January 5, 2015 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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