From a paper by Michele Andreolli, Natalie S. Rickard, and Paolo Surico (presented at NBER Summer Institute Monetary Economics sessions):
Hovde on Impending Mass Layoffs, Disinflation vs. Deflation, and “Illegals” (His Word, Not Mine)
See on WisconsinEye.
Food at Home CPI Component: Unchanged Relative to January 2024
Prices are up relative to January 2021, but not relative to January 2024:
Wisconsin Employment in July: Cooling
Preliminary NFP count is down 6.5K (on 3 million), unemployment rate up 0.1 ppts.
The Partisan Split in August Sentiment
Michigan 67.8 vs 66.7. Big jump in expectations 72.1 vs. 68.5 (as opposed to current situation).
Scariest Paragraph for Applied Econometricians in Project 2025
From Mandate for Leadership, aka Project 2025, page 664:
At It Again: “Donald Trump promises an ‘economic boom’ if he wins US election”
Russia GDP Slowdown in Q2: 4% y/y Growth
From BOFIT today (as translated by Google):
Naval Deployments as of 8/12/2024
From the US Naval Institute:
Kursk 2024 – Update 8/15/2024
From MilitaryLand.