There are some terms used on this blog that provoke some confusion. Here are some quick definitions that might help some readers.
Oil Price Pass Through into Gasoline Prices
From Hakan Yilmazkuday, “Oil Price Pass-Through into Consumer Prices: Evidence from U.S. Weekly Data”, forthcoming in JIMF:
Latest One Year Horizon Inflation Expectations
Michigan (preliminary) remains high and NY Fed rises 40 bps; both are consumer based. Cleveland Fed forecast is lower than in September.
Gasoline Prices through Time
Conventional gasoline price since 1990.
Are Low Wage Wages Keeping Up with Inflation
If accommodation and food service wages evolve in October in the same way the have covaried with overall leisure and hospitality service wages, then the answer is yes, for a variety of price indexes.
A “Fiscal Cliff Scenario” – A Symposium of Views in The International Economy
October Inflation – Different Measures
Chained, and particularly Trimmed, and Sticky Price CPI are less than headline.
October CPI Inflation
Headline CPI exceeded expectations substantially, with m/m 0.9% vs. 0.6% expected. Core was 0.6% vs. 0.4% expected (Bloomberg consensus). The persistence in the gap will depend in large part on oil price’s evolution. Year-on-year core matches levels last seen in 1991; but still far below the 1970’s.
Anti-Elitism or Anti-Other-ism?
Econbrowser reader Manfred, in responding to my critique of the late Mr. Limbaugh’s use (or non-use) of statistics, writes of me:
…you had access to schools that many others in the US do not…
Five Measures of Real Average Hourly Earnings in Accommodation & Food Services
Still likely rising. We’re awaiting October CPI numbers, and October wages for accommodation and food services, but using nowcasts and extrapolations, we can show what real wages look like through October.