Some people point to initial claims for unemployment insurance.
Reminders: Don’t Accuse People of Manipulating the Data before Figuring Out What Has Been Done, and Other Helpful Hints for Not Losing All Credibility
Some additional notes for my students:
Reminders: Logs, Chain-Weights, Confidence Intervals, Data Footnotes, Data Revisions, and Stereotypes
Notes for my students:
Nowcasts and Forecasts
of GDP, along with current Gross Domestic Output (average of GDP and GDI):
One Year Ahead Inflation Expectations as of End-June
Year-on-year CPI headline inflation is expected to be lower as of a year from now, ranging from 4.2% to 6.8%.
Why We Don’t Call Recessions on the Basis of Petroleum Use
Reader Steven Kopits writes:
So You Think We Might Be In a Recession Today (Part II)?
Look around at enough indicators (say vehicle miles traveled) and you might think so. A follow up to this post. Let’s look at what conventional and high frequency indicators say.
In Memory of Robert Haveman
Robert Haveman, a prime force behind the establishment of the La Follette School of Public Affairs, passed last week. Today, Tim Smeeding, a longtime friend, colleague, co-author and student of Bob Haveman, shares some thoughts on this occasion.
Some Random Graphs and Links
For reference: