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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

End-of-Week Nowcasts

St. Louis and NY Feds have new nowcasts.

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This entry was posted on September 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up, Inflation Expectations Down

 

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This entry was posted on September 13, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Real Average Wages

On the rise:

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This entry was posted on September 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Scary Movie: Pseudo-Economics Edition

EJ Antoni/Heritage presents this picture which should scare the beejeebus out of us.

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This entry was posted on September 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Nationwide Grocery Prices at 2024M01 Levels

From the CPI release:

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This entry was posted on September 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Instantaneous Core Inflation, with PPI and Nowcasted PCE Deflator

With the PPI release, and Cleveland Fed PCE nowcast as of today:

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This entry was posted on September 12, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Mackintosh/WSJ: “A Recession Signal Is Flashing Red. Or Is It?”

Article today on whether it matters if dis-inversion occurs because short rates fall, or long rates rise.

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This entry was posted on September 11, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

SIX Five Measures of Instantaneous Core Inflation

With August CPI release, we have core, chained core, supercore, and services supercore (via P. Skrzypczynski). PPI comes tomorrow.

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This entry was posted on September 11, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

The Net Petroleum Balance

In real dollars:

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This entry was posted on September 10, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Gasoline Prices Down…

As recorded by EIA.

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This entry was posted on September 10, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Recent Posts

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  • The Trump Economy Now: “Dead in the water”
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  • Wisconsin Employment in the Context of the Preliminary Benchmark Revision

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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