Another update of The Data Will Set You Free , so you won’t go around quoting Zerohedge.
Euro Area GDP Nowcasts, Pre-NordStream Indefinite Shutdown
Natural gas futures surge as Gazprom announces shutdown. What were nowcasts indicating before this announcement? Nowcasts from Banca d’Italia via CEPR, Cascaldi-Garcia et al., and Woloszko/OECD.
Prediction Markets on Wisconsin Races
From PredictIt today:
The Hit to the Russian Economy, Internally Assessed
Weekly Economic Activity thru August 27
New OECD Weekly Tracker index (Woloszko/OECD) is out. Here’s the resulting picture:
Whither Sentiment?
Look toward gasoline prices (and a few other things).
Business Cycle Indicators as of 9/3: On the Upswing Again (If They Were Ever in a Downswing)
In the wake of the employment situation and monthly GDP (IHS Markit) releases:
Guest Contribution: “Forecasting Real Activity using Cross-Sectoral Stock Market Information”
Today, we are fortunate to present a guest contribution written by Arthur Stalla Bourdillon, economist at the Banque de France. The views expressed herein are those of the author and should not be attributed to the Banque de France, Eurosystem or NBER.
Guest Contribution: “Gauging Recessions with the Jobs-Workers Gap”
Today, we are fortunate to present a guest contribution written by Paweł Skrzypczyński, economist at the National Bank of Poland. The views expressed herein are those of the author and should not be attributed to the National Bank of Poland.
“OHCHR Assessment of human rights concerns in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, People’s Republic of China”
From the conclusion to the Report: